September 03, 2015

"The last big earthquake to hit B.C. — similar to the one modelled for Vancouver — was on Vancouver Island in 1946."

National Post It struck north of Courtenay, where it damaged buildings as well as in Comox, Port Alberni and Powell River. However, the damage was restricted because the area was not heavily populated and only two deaths were attributed to the quake. by Gordon Hoekstra via Postmedia News

'The scenario — a shallow earthquake of magnitude 7.3 directly beneath the city — was chosen to provide the basis for drafting an emergency earthquake plan.

'The scenario sees about 30 per cent of Metro Vancouver buildings damaged by the temblor — 18 per cent suffering extensive damage and 12 per cent being catastrophically damaged.

'The death toll is estimated at nearly 10,000, with more than 128,000 injuries.

'Nearly 100,000 people would have to flee their homes and require short-term shelter, many of them downtown.

'The scale of the human disaster is among the first such estimates for Metro Vancouver, as governments grapple with how to prepare for the severe earthquake scientists predict is coming for British Columbia.'

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