Daily Beast "...he warns that Ukraine may not be able to stop an all-out war with Russia." by Josh Rogin
'There may be no way to stop Vladimir Putin from starting a hot war
with Ukraine, so Ukraine and its Western allies must prepare for the
worst and do it quickly, according to former Georgian President Mikheil
'Saakashvili, who fought the Russian army in 2008 for
five days after the Russians invaded, is in Kiev to advise the new
Ukrainian government. He says he’s providing counsel on how to hopefully
avoid an all-out war with Putin’s army. But Saakashvili is also there
to deliver a warning to Kiev: Russia appears to be preparing for armed
conflict in Ukraine and the world must be ready for that battle, just in
case Putin can’t be dissuaded from the fight.
'“Right now my
advice to the Ukraine government is to maintain maximum restraint, but
to prepare for the worst, because I don’t think Vladimir Putin is going
to stop where he is. He is not going to stop anywhere until he gets rid
of the leadership in Kiev,” Saakashvili said in an interview with The
Daily Beast on Monday. “The West should be ready that there might be a
'There several similarities between Russia’s 2008
invasion of Georgia and its 2012 invasion of Ukraine and one main
difference. Russia has yet to cross militarily into greater Ukraine,
outside Crimea, and wage a full scale invasion of the country, as it did
in Georgia. But Saakashvili said he sees plenty of signs that’s exactly
what Putin plans to do next.
'There are multiple Russian
intelligence organizations stirring up trouble all over Ukraine’s south
and east with a goal of preparing a pretext for a large-scale military
intervention, he said. The huge military exercises currently ongoing on
the Russian side of the border are of the same scale to those that
immediately preceded the Russian invasion of Georgia, he pointed out.
Russia is also putting out massive amounts of propaganda to establish a
narrative that could support a large scale intervention, again eerily
similar to their actions in 2008.
'“Putin certainly has plans for
large scale military intervention in the whole of Ukraine,” said
Saakashvili. “I think Russia is looking for a hot war.”'